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[text] A TimeSeries Analysis of my Girlfriends Mood S s Dr. Chad Broman Department of Applied Psychological Machine Learning CranberryLemon University Pittsburgh PA USA Abstract Despite recent advances in active listening date night and extended pillow talk it is becoming increasingly more difficult to forecast Tiffanys mood. With more and more Playstation 5 exclusive games it is becoming increasingly important to determine Tiffanys mood before purchasing a new game and playing online Coop with the boys every evening for a week straight. This paper aims to determine the optimal forecast model of my girlfriends drastically growing mood swings by comparing simple moving averages to sextuple exponential smoothing and even an overly compl ted Machine Learning model. Despite initial analysis showing nonstationarity and highly seasonal mood swings the more simple models provided less riskier forecast predictions when planning a three day bender after Matt got divorced. Keywords Relationships Time Series Analysis Forecast Modeling Playstation 5 Exclusives 1. Introduction Traditional methods of determining whether Tiffany is in a good mood has produced wildly subjective results causing dangerous outcomes such as her taking three hours to respond 10 a text flaking on netflix and chill plans or even most disastrously having to return a speed boat even though it was a great deal and an even better investment. Just asking her if shes okay is not enough anymore. The only reliable method is to develop test verify and implement an extensive forecasting model by analyzing historical Tiffany mood swing data. find her endlessly scrolling through reddit for memes facebook or instagram for jealousy and twitter to keep up on all the public officials and celebrities she hates the most. 1.2 Purpose Ever since her best friends started having kids and she got promoted to a stressful corporate position she was not trained for it has become exponentially difficult to plan around Tiffanys emotional highs and lows. This is becoming not only problematic but is a problem that needs to be solved immediately. To dispel any misconceptions its not about